San Bernardino Follow Up


After some forthright discussion from the previous post, we’ve done two edits.  One, is to spell San Bernardino correctly, as incorrect spelling immediately removes one from being able to criticize the good old USA.  We are wearing the Typo Dunce Hat for the hour, to make up for it.

The second was to remove the quoted number of 355 active shootings in the US in 2015.  The number, quoted by many news outlets, including the NY Times and MSNBC is bullshit, so we’ve pulled it.  This article http://mobile.nytimes.com/2015/12/04/opinion/how-many-mass-shootings-are-there-really.html?_r=0  explains it well.  We don’t mind admitting the error and find ourselves in good company in inadvertently distributing crap data.  Every media outlet did that day, so we will suck it up and say sorry about that.

The discussion set off some thinking however.  Not about gun control, gun ownership, the NRA, or the 2nd Amendment to the Constitution.  Those things are almost parenthetical to the San Bernardino outrage.  What it comes down to is how we protect the innocent, uninvolved bystanders.

Here’s our construct and we’ll be broad in our definitions, if only to keep from getting bogged down in trivia.

There is a difference between Criminals and Crazies.  Criminals do not want to die in the commission of their crimes:  Death ruins the cash flow, as a dead bank robber can’t rob more banks, break into more houses, or even up the score with a rival gang over turf, drug deals or protection.

Criminals tend to threaten the innocent bystanders until they get what they want and then want to get away quickly.  Even solo criminals, let’s say serial rapists, only want to perform the act, then run away to do it again.

Crazies we have to define.  A Crazy perpetrator of some kind of violent outburst doesn’t care if they live or die.  They want to kill innocent bystanders, or the uninvolved as a way of demonstrating their belief in whatever might be their issue.  It could be religious, it could be mental illness, it could be grudges over something said or done by a group to them, or about them.  A major defining characteristic is the desire to NOT run away after doing whatever they feel is appropriate as revenge.

There are always exceptions to each broad group, and one exception does not disprove the entire construct.  (If we could manipulate a deck of cards to have the 3 of Clubs squirt warm water in your face once, would you believe that every 3 of Clubs, anywhere in the world, at any time, would be gaffed to squirt water in your face?  If you do, then you’re missing the arc of the discussion and should stop reading now.  No discussion is ever 100% perfect in all situations, all the time.  Lighten up a bit, OK?)

Criminals use firearms, regardless of length, caliber, mag size or styling, as a way to threaten the victim to do what the criminal wants them to do.  Hand over the money, give us the keys to the car, or stop selling your drugs on our turf.  The threat of violence is the determinant, but that often doesn’t work with other criminals.  Criminals, generally, are not skilled or trained to use firearms effectively in a crisis situation under pressure.  That’s when you get into rounds flying everywhere and innocent bystanders being shot because they were in the wrong place at the wrong time, which is what we want to prevent.

Crazies want to kill or wound as many as possible using their weapons as the determinant.  A suicide vest doesn’t mean much until you actually detonate the vest and kill innocent bystanders.  Threatening to blow yourself up for a half-hour is frightening, but until you do it, or you pull the trigger on the firearm, you’re just a crazy with a dangerous problem and the potential to cause mayhem.  The cops might even be able to talk that kind of crazy down, or disarm them, rendering the situation harmless.  Police have the tools, training and expertise to tell the difference between a potential crazy and a real crazy.  A real crazy explodes or starts shooting with no warning, the objective being to use whatever weapon has been selected, starting now.

In both cases, legislating the tools used for the threat or action, does nothing.  Criminals are not concerned with the niceties and responsibilities of gun ownership.  Crazies want something that will help them kill more, faster.  An axe is great for splitting wood or splitting somebody’s head open and the change from utility tool to weapon takes less than a second.  It’s like licensing ownership of a pair of pliers because someone could, conceivably, use pliers to not only fix the light in the hallway, but also to rip off someone’s nipples in a violent sexual assault.

What we want to control is the ability to readily inflict harm on many innocent bystanders.  An axe or a pair of pliers doesn’t have a mag, but firearms do, which is where the danger to the innocent bystander comes in and why we have to have a sanction on the illegal use of this specific tool.

(Yes, single-shot black powder firearms don’t have a mag.  Potential mass-shooting victims could take public transit to safety if the attacker is using a musket.)

Which brings us to how to manage some of the situation.  For criminals, we proposed something called the Double-Double in November 2006.  The short form is that if you commit a crime with a firearm, the sentence doubles and no parole.  Discharge the firearm?  The sentence doubles again.

A simple robbery, if convicted, goes from a 4 to 7-year sentence to a 16 to 28 year-no-parole, served-consecutively sentence.  Criminals, being somewhat clever, would recognize that being near a firearm is not good for business.  The Double-Double has nothing to do with gun ownership, the 2nd Amendment, or the right to defend yourself.  It has everything involved with making it unattractive to illegally use a tool that can rapidly involve many innocent bystanders in a bad way.

For the crazies, we can’t stop them from legally buying firearms (San Bernardino), ammonium nitrate fertilizer and fuel oil (Oklahoma City), drywall screws (Tuesday in Beirut by a bomb maker) or schedule 40 pipe from Home Depot.  Even with all the background checks you can imagine, you can’t predict what is going on inside their brain.

Remember what the motivator is for criminals or crazies:  One wants to do it again, the other wants to do it once.

At least we can control some of the mayhem, by controlling the criminals, making the illegal use of a tool punishable by a very long stretch in prison to discourage the use of a tool that can very easily harm many innocent bystanders.

The crazies?  We can’t control unless we’re willing to go over to a complete surveillance society, with the police watching our every move, everywhere, for suspicious intent.

This we don’t want.

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5 responses to “San Bernardino Follow Up

  1. I declare for myself partial vindication and generally endorse your newly enlightend thinking. I am not against a little more gun control. I don’t own a gun and haven’t fired anything since my Army days. But gun violence happens in places with the strictest gun control, France, California, etc. so it might not be much of an answer.

    I believe violence spikes when by have rapid and substantial diversification of the population. Look to immigration of the Capone Days and the Diversification of the USA population in recent years that is happening more rapidly than they can be assimilated.

    While this is not Politically Correct and puts me to the right of The Donald look at the record of the most homogenious countries, Japan, Canada etc.

    The years are rocky while the Melting Pot is doing its magic.

  2. Yet Canada is not a Melting Pot. We’re a mosaic, not homogeneous and we have had exactly one “terrorist” group plot to blow up a passenger train. The idiots were working with an undercover police informant and are now at the Crowbar Hotel.

    We have had mass shooting incidents, like last year in Ottawa near Remembrance Day. One in 2012 and 2006, both were gang-bangers in Toronto, a school shooting at the Polytechnique in Montreal, in 1989 and one in Quebec City in 1984.

    Political Correctness doesn’t enter into the formula, as long as you can back it up. If you contend that all Muslims are terrorists and can back it up with facts, then good for you.

    I’ll suggest you look at Dearborn, Michigan as a heavily Arab-speaking and Muslim American city for the start of your research. Using that logic, there should be suicide bombings three times a day and shootouts every Friday after sundown prayers. Blood should be flooding the streets in Dearborn: It isn’t. The thesis is bullshiite. But it’s bullshiite before being politically incorrect, which is perfectly acceptable.

  3. Sorry that you missed my point. I am not sure how I get tagged with a Muslim rant as I don’t think I have mentioned them once. so I will defer research on Dearborn.

    • Actually it was more from the homogeneous comment about Canada. I was more linking the ‘not Politically Correct and puts me to the right of The Donald’ quote and adding to it one of the more unpleasant memes online, then iterating to the general rules of intellectual discourse: You can say things that are not politically correct, as long as you can back it up. I’m sorry if you saw it as attributing you with that point of view. Not the intent at all.

      • I waive the white flag as I don’t have the intellectual stamina to make my point. This point being that one can’t compare old and ethnically homogeneous countries such as Japan (98.5% ethnic Japanese) with a relatively young extremely diverse population such as the USA for violence. Or even Canada 70% white and relatively sparsely populated. Your Dearborn example also fits as it is not diverse. Eventually the melting pot will prevail. We are in the salad bowl days and that is not working. Funny thing is if USA is so bad why are so many people voting with their feet and coming here. Some tribes are more resistant than others which slows their progress.

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